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# nick        = twitter-glenweyl
# url         = https://feeds.twtxt.net/twitter-glenweyl/twtxt.txt
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# updated_at  = 2021-11-30T22:47:06Z
#
2021-10-17T04:51:21Z	**@StarTrek have aged far better with me even when watch the far from perfect recent renditions**
[@StarTrek](https://twitter.com/StarTrek) have aged far better with me even when watch the far from perfect recent renditions. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1449598885542825993)
2021-10-17T04:51:20Z	**Asimov is roughly the Ayn Rand of the left and has aged about as well for me**
Asimov is roughly the Ayn Rand of the left and has aged about as well for me. Watching the new [@AppleTV](https://twitter.com/AppleTV) take on it reminded me how bloodlessly high modernist was the thought of my first favorite author. By contrast the pluralism, humanism and sense of wonder that pervade ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1449598884427145218)
2021-10-13T04:20:55Z	**Thanks to @CurziRose for having the courage to share her experience with this**
Thanks to [@CurziRose](https://twitter.com/CurziRose) for having the courage to share her experience with this. I have no hot take on this and no experience with the group. I do, however, think that understanding communities like this floating around the tech world is important. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1448141678485794817)
2021-10-09T21:41:11Z	**Congratulations to the @NobelPrize for their choice of @mariaressa**
Congratulations to the [@NobelPrize](https://twitter.com/NobelPrize) for their choice of [@mariaressa](https://twitter.com/mariaressa), a true hero and a fellow [@ProjectSpeaker](https://twitter.com/ProjectSpeaker) speaker. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1446953918097883140)
2021-10-08T04:29:07Z	**Why I was wrong to demonize rationalists**
Why I was wrong to demonize rationalists: [https://t.co/JFJJQt81eu](https://www.radicalxchange.org/media/blog/why-i-was-wrong-to-demonize-rationalism/) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1446331802671403009)
2021-10-07T05:34:21Z	**I am deeply embarrassed I’d never read Octavia Butler until @CharlotteCavai1 recommended her to me recently…clearly among the greatest sci fi writers of all time**
I am deeply embarrassed I’d never read Octavia Butler until [@CharlotteCavai1](https://twitter.com/CharlotteCavai1) recommended her to me recently…clearly among the greatest sci fi writers of all time ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1445985830128914436)
2021-10-18T17:43:42Z	**2**
2\. Veracity: This is what really kills a book that claims no normative standing and purely a logical projection of the necessary chain of future events. Hari Seldon these guys are not. One can divide their statements into roughly 3 categories: a) claims of current facts, b) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450155640995807233)
2021-10-18T17:41:02Z	**pedestrian application of the day’s Objectivism**
pedestrian application of the day’s Objectivism, albeit in a particularly grotesque and thoroughgoing fashion. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154972125941762)
2021-10-18T17:40:48Z	**here were predicted 20 years earlier in JCR Licklider’s “Computers and Government”**
here were predicted 20 years earlier in JCR Licklider’s “Computers and Government”, which went in a much more thoughtful direction in terms of what they could mean for society. In short, there was not visionary technology forecasting here and the social forecasting was a ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154913065889792)
2021-10-18T17:40:48Z	**way ahead of their time; they were the sorts of things that everyone had been talking about in the Valley for years…Read**
way ahead of their time; they were the sorts of things that everyone had been talking about in the Valley for years…Read, for example, Neal Stephenson's 1992 Snowcrash. In fact, 95% of the technological developments “predicted” ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154911711125511)
2021-10-18T17:40:47Z	**traveling in those circles at that time**
traveling in those circles at that time, as a largely reheated serving of the standard set of the conventional wisdom at that time in that community. The technological substrate that the fantasies here in were built on were not, as some reading today have suggested, ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154910389993476)
2021-10-18T17:40:47Z	**garbage here (especially the same specific extreme factual misrepresentations and the egregious prediction errors) were standard fare**
garbage here (especially the same specific extreme factual misrepresentations and the egregious prediction errors) were standard fare. It was that experience that largely led me away from Objectivism. This book reads to me, and I would be willing to bet reads to those who were ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154909077159943)
2021-10-18T17:40:47Z	**1**
1\. Novelty: It’s easy to look back on a book from 20 years ago and imagine it was much more novel and innovative than it was at the time. While I was young when it was published, I was traveling heavily in the Objectivist circles of the Bay Area of the time and the sort of ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154907667820544)
2021-10-18T17:40:46Z	**be interpreted as "philosophical"**
be interpreted as "philosophical", "ethical" or "values" and focus instead on three harder-to-dismiss issues: novelty, veracity and sincerity. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154906363457539)
2021-10-18T17:40:46Z	**f**
f. Total lack of understanding of both the social and physical infrastructure on which "cyberspace" depends.

g. 0 understanding of the range of potential directions of technology beyond one incredibly specific vision.

I could go on but let me leave to one side anything that could ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154905059008513)
2021-10-18T17:40:46Z	**c**
c. Ludicrous theory of economic value from pre-marginal revolution period, all value can be linearly decomposed.

d. Celebration of military coups and literal witch hunts/trials (no I am not making this up).

e. Treatment of democracy as "fraternal twin" of communism". ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450154903708397569)
2021-10-18T17:47:34Z	**a**
a. On actual fact checking, you are constantly encountering things that seem clearly false statements of fact. Being on paternity leave, I didn't have time to catalog these, but a few statements about econ were particularly easy for me given my background to debunk. I suspect ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450156614741159937)
2021-10-18T17:45:13Z	**on this list are obviously the easiest ones to verify their failures on for obvious reasons**
on this list are obviously the easiest ones to verify their failures on for obvious reasons. Let me start there and work my way down. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450156023172325381)
2021-10-18T17:45:12Z	**easily testable claims about events in the near/specified future and c) vague statements about things that are inevitable but with not clarity on when (though usually something detailed about the texture when they do pass)**
easily testable claims about events in the near/specified future and c) vague statements about things that are inevitable but with not clarity on when (though usually something detailed about the texture when they do pass). They do terribly on all counts, but the earlier items ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450156021821804547)
2021-10-18T17:55:42Z	**I know I am not a very good rationalist/Bayesian**
I know I am not a very good rationalist/Bayesian, but last time I checked I thought that the value of a variable aggregated over a strict subset was usually less than that for a super set. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450158664011051013)
2021-10-18T17:55:42Z	**b**
b. They claim that the top .1% of US income earners pay more than half of all taxes in 1997. Well, at least according to those unreconstructed commies over at the [@NTU](https://twitter.com/NTU), in 1997 the top 1% of earners paid a bit less than 30% of all taxes and ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450158662186504193)
2021-10-18T17:55:42Z	**1990s was pretty high**
1990s was pretty high, but not truly exceptional much last the fastest in the world either comparing it to that country's performance at other times or comparing it to other countries. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450158660831744002)
2021-10-18T17:55:41Z	**Peru was even close to the very top of world growth tables**
Peru was even close to the very top of world growth tables, 1994, It was the 9th fastest growing country in the world: [https://t.co/erVWbWSK2w](https://countryeconomy.com/gdp?year=1994). Obviously this is just one year, but if you look over any other reasonable period here, it is still wrong. Peru's growth during the ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450158659317616640)
2021-10-18T17:55:41Z	**whoppers of this magnitude show up ever 5 pages or so and would be great if someone could go through more seriously**
whoppers of this magnitude show up ever 5 pages or so and would be great if someone could go through more seriously.

Example I: After the Fujimori coup, Peru grew at the fastest rate in the world. This is both literally false and substantively wrong. In the only year where ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450158657866326017)
2021-10-18T18:05:03Z	**certainly lower and more stable than during the periods the book claims are now being transcended**
certainly lower and more stable than during the periods the book claims are now being transcended. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161014335361027)
2021-10-18T18:05:02Z	**Example IV**
Example IV: Govts will then turn to inflation to make up the difference. Not so much: [https://t.co/KTnXGmiNOE](https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/inflation-rate-cpi) [https://t.co/4OCb4Zgt5Y](https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/EUU/european-union/inflation-rate-cpi) [https://t.co/kyRrC9vpTr](https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/JPN/japan/inflation-rate-cpi) US and EU inflation has been low and stable and Japanese has been incredibly low and stable. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161012057935876)
2021-10-18T18:05:02Z	**link**
[https://t.co/mYeF1yocRS](https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-united-states.pdf) OECD government revenue as share of GDP has been almost completely flat since the book's publication (actually shocking how flat it has been). ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161010464022531)
2021-10-18T18:05:01Z	**Example II**
Example II: It will turn out that the Clinton's were CIA assets and were running the US as a narcostate. This one is at QAnon level...even Trump didn't propagate it to my knowledge.

Example III: Govts will soon be unable to raise revenue. Not if you believe [@OECD](https://twitter.com/OECD) stats: ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161009017061379)
2021-10-18T18:05:01Z	**b**
b. Let's now turn to predictions that are sufficiently specific and near-term that they have at least the potential to be tested.

Example I: The Peruvian coup will set set of a wave of other similar coups that will similarly ignite growth in those countries. Umm, not so much. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161007402225664)
2021-10-18T18:08:08Z	**Oh**
Oh, one more particularly good one I can't help mentioning: Y2K as harbinger of completely and imminent collapse of all. hmmm. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161793448366084)
2021-10-18T18:06:55Z	**Again**
Again, I think I'm getting to the point of beating a dead horse here, but if anyone wants to bring forward something else remotely testable from the book I am happy to look at it. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450161484399403010)
2021-10-18T18:12:55Z	**Example I**
Example I: Drying up of good jobs, decline of labor share etc. Book often heralded for predicting these. Note these trends were well underway by its writing. Book claims these will be accompanied by massive increase in aggregate growth (at one point, something like 10x). ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450162994537586688)
2021-10-18T18:10:25Z	**predict cooccurrence of various events**
predict cooccurrence of various events, some of which have come partly to pass in a certain fashion. Did the predicted cooccurrences follow? ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450162367766040579)
2021-10-18T18:10:25Z	**c**
c. Vague predictions about the future with no expiry date are basically unfalsifiable. Think of all the eschatological predictions that are wrong time after time and just get pushed back. But we can at least get some purchase on the predictions here because they ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450162365626945541)
2021-10-18T18:18:21Z	**Again**
Again, let me leave it here as it gets repetitious at some point. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164361675243528)
2021-10-18T18:18:20Z	**In fact the central prediction in this section that this will be driven by it being super easy to verify links to the real world and no one will want to rely on social conventions has been almost the opposite of what's happened in crypto land**
In fact the central prediction in this section that this will be driven by it being super easy to verify links to the real world and no one will want to rely on social conventions has been almost the opposite of what's happened in crypto land. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164359745794050)
2021-10-18T18:18:20Z	**Example III**
Example III: Rise of digital money backed by hard assets. Again, not clear we have really seen a huge rise of digital money...yes, there is some significant crypto activity but not a large share of transactions (yet) and it is not backed by real assets. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164358303006730)
2021-10-18T18:18:20Z	**event addressed most effectively by governments that work well**
event addressed most effectively by governments that work well, etc.) but even after that decentralization was hardly the outgrowth. Govts grew stronger and share of economy captured by few tech giants surged enormously. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164356730130432)
2021-10-18T18:18:19Z	**Example II**
Example II: Digital everything accompanied by huge decentralization of economic power, collapse of corporations and institution, etc. Even the first part is arguably not very true at all until pandemic, which is itself utterly at odds with the book (very physical ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164354972741634)
2021-10-18T18:18:19Z	**as enthusiasm for the Chinese regime**
as enthusiasm for the Chinese regime, which hopefully folks know is a bugaboo for me on many fronts as well...just talking facts). ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164353475379204)
2021-10-18T18:18:18Z	**In fact**
In fact, countries that saw drying up of good jobs saw econ and productivity growth rates cut in half relative to the high industrialism period. Only countries that saw higher growth also saw booming good jobs: China, Taiwan, Estonia. (BTW nothing here should be interpreted ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164351919263752)
2021-10-18T18:20:03Z	**included the election in a landslide of Colin Powell and the greatest and most sustained depression in human history during the 1990s**
included the election in a landslide of Colin Powell and the greatest and most sustained depression in human history during the 1990s. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164790337236995)
2021-10-18T18:20:03Z	**But suffice it to say**
But suffice it to say, to view this book as some brilliant prophecy requires a pretty twisted way of reading it. There is good reason why one of its authors was widely ridiculed as "mystic Mogg" (a play on tv psychic "mystic Meg") for his terrible predictions, which also ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450164788730888194)
2021-10-18T18:38:42Z	**will read the book and understand that in the relationship that @peterthiel has with the right**
will read the book and understand that in the relationship that [@peterthiel](https://twitter.com/peterthiel) has with the right, at least one side is being played for fools. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169482865905665)
2021-10-18T18:38:41Z	**In short**
In short, this book is simply as bad as it gets. It is complete factual garbage, based on idiotic and abhorrent premises and legitimating the worst sort of social and anti-social behavior. I particularly hope that people I respect on the right like [@JohnnieM](https://twitter.com/JohnnieM) and [@JuliusKrein](https://twitter.com/JuliusKrein) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169481049694211)
2021-10-18T18:38:41Z	**will corrode liberal democracy by undermining and betraying their customers**
will corrode liberal democracy by undermining and betraying their customers. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169479351074816)
2021-10-18T18:38:40Z	**the book would castigate**
the book would castigate, and the third is a \*government surveillance tech company\*. It is very hard to look at these without concluding that either [@peterthiel](https://twitter.com/peterthiel) is lying about believing in the ideas in the book or he is deliberately funding organizations he thinks ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169477547495424)
2021-10-18T18:38:40Z	**with this worldview**
with this worldview. Seasteading, etc. have gone nowhere. [@PayPal](https://twitter.com/PayPal), [@Facebook](https://twitter.com/Facebook) and [@PalantirTech](https://twitter.com/PalantirTech) have succeeded. The first is a fixture of the digital branch of the legacy banking system, the second is a \*social network\*, precisely the sort of tech ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169475794309120)
2021-10-18T18:38:40Z	**of people to read and take seriously the publicly stated plans and influences of major world leaders**
of people to read and take seriously the publicly stated plans and influences of major world leaders. [@peterthiel](https://twitter.com/peterthiel) is a particularly damning/frightening case, given that the investments he is lauded for and that have made him his fortune are so completely at odds ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169474112389121)
2021-10-18T18:38:39Z	**incompetent and malign leaders**
incompetent and malign leaders, who will fail miserably. I can only attribute the fact that these folks remain acceptable to the parties they are associated with to the same forces that let Hitler sign peace treaties despite Mein Kampf being in wide circulation: the failure ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169472585650181)
2021-10-18T18:38:39Z	**/endorsement these folks have of the book seems only to have grown**
/endorsement these folks have of the book seems only to have grown. It is very hard to interpret this in any way other than the most extremely cynical/Machiavellian attempt to accelerate the collapse of liberal democracy by deliberately supporting what they consider to be ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169470899527681)
2021-10-18T18:38:38Z	**irreligious knowledge worker elites**
irreligious knowledge worker elites. Yet [@peterthiel](https://twitter.com/peterthiel) and [@Jacob\_Rees\_Mogg](https://twitter.com/Jacob_Rees_Mogg) have attached themselves to precisely the kind of right-wing reactionary ethnonationalists that the book associates with the death pangs of the nation state, while at the same time the enthusiasm ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169469066645504)
2021-10-18T18:38:38Z	**circle around him and one of the author's sons**
circle around him and one of the author's sons, [@Jacob\_Rees\_Mogg](https://twitter.com/Jacob_Rees_Mogg). This book predicts/advocates a world where the nation state completely dissolves, good jobs disappear for nationals by free cosmopolitan competition and the world is basically ruled by 100m ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450169467393110017)
2021-10-18T18:44:46Z	**Adding @patrick_mckenna to this list**
Adding [@patrick\_mckenna](https://twitter.com/patrick_mckenna) to this list. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450171012134309888)
2021-10-18T19:17:03Z	**the actual tech designed by the Licklider collaboration etc**
the actual tech designed by the Licklider collaboration etc.) and other graph/network based tech is pluralist. Let's do more of that...and on that note, expect a blog post soon on "Why I am a Pluralist". ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450179136706646017)
2021-10-18T19:17:03Z	**archetypal respectively AGI and Bitcoin maximalist forms) AI is communist and Crypto is libertarian (in @peterthiel's twisted Mad Max ancap version of libertarianism)**
archetypal respectively AGI and Bitcoin maximalist forms) AI is communist and Crypto is libertarian (in [@peterthiel's](https://twitter.com/peterthiel's) twisted Mad Max ancap version of libertarianism). I would add that the internet (not the loose set of things we now call the internet, but ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450179134647197698)
2021-10-18T19:17:02Z	**Ironically**
Ironically, the single best part of the book (in the 2020 edition I read) was [@peterthiel's](https://twitter.com/peterthiel's) preface, because there he is at least honest about the book not really being a prediction by a prescription and restates his classic line which I mostly agree with that (at least in their ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450179132902445058)
2021-10-18T20:39:58Z	**Those depressed by my last tweet stream should read this from @Pontifex**
Those depressed by my last tweet stream should read this from [@Pontifex](https://twitter.com/Pontifex): [https://t.co/K3EfK4fFHI](https://www.vatican.va/content/francesco/en/messages/pont-messages/2021/documents/20211016-videomessaggio-movimentipopolari.html). Thanks [@divyasiddarth](https://twitter.com/divyasiddarth) for lifting my spirits. This not [@peterthiel’s](https://twitter.com/peterthiel’s) sophistry is what Christian love lo ... ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450200002655973378)
2021-10-19T16:49:44Z	**The conversation on public digital money forward**
The conversation on public digital money forward. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450504448858472448)
2021-10-19T16:49:44Z	**Congratulations to my old comrade in arms in the debates over financial regulation @STOmarova on her nomination as Comptroller of the Currency**
Congratulations to my old comrade in arms in the debates over financial regulation [@STOmarova](https://twitter.com/STOmarova) on her nomination as Comptroller of the Currency. While I think her recent proposals have been too simplistic and centralized, innovative thinking like hers is crucial to pushing ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1450504447998578691)
2021-10-21T10:20:16Z	**Just realized I’m on there too**
Just realized I’m on there too! ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451131213779931136)
2021-10-22T04:06:27Z	**Bravo**
Bravo. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451399527794036736)
2021-10-22T22:07:37Z	**Or getting on top of AI risk faster**
Or getting on top of AI risk faster? Or keeping up with everything going on in the digital money space? Or taking public goods seriously? The piece and to a lesser extent the recent Nobel award just reinforce how deeply stuck in a technocratic dead end the field is. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451671612546187264)
2021-10-22T22:07:37Z	**Given how broken contemporary economics is and how widely recognized its brokenness has become**
Given how broken contemporary economics is and how widely recognized its brokenness has become, how does speeding it up and zooming it in really help? Might it not make it worse? Would higher frequency data have led to blocking the FB-Instagram merger? ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451671611745062912)
2021-10-22T22:07:37Z	**I have to say I found @TheEconomist’s cover leader briefing this week one of their sillier**
I have to say I found [@TheEconomist’s](https://twitter.com/TheEconomist’s) cover leader briefing this week one of their sillier, along with the one on cancel culture: [https://t.co/Lz2QlWHgmu](https://www.economist.com/briefing/2021/10/23/enter-third-wave-economics). Economics has entered a “third era”, yet they cannot pinpoint a single concrete social benefit it has yielded. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451671610822316032)
2021-10-22T22:22:11Z	**dark**
dark. If you think we are in such dark times as those, is there no corner of the world where you can find refuge? Has every country simultaneously either shut the door to you or turned into a totalitarian hell hole? ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451675276073598985)
2021-10-22T22:22:11Z	**started getting beaten up in Germany by his former classmate friends**
started getting beaten up in Germany by his former classmate friends, you bet he exited and man was he lucky to be able to. His family brought almost nothing with them, but the opportunity this country with all its profound flaws offered him was a light of civilization in the ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451675274928537608)
2021-10-22T22:22:10Z	**Give me everything you have and let me leave in a getaway car**
Give me everything you have and let me leave in a getaway car? Personally, I'd be delighted if the "exit" crowd exited from my twitter feed, my nation's politics (where they are funding and campaigning for anti-immigration extremists), etc. When my grandfather ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451675273800257537)
2021-10-22T22:22:10Z	**allowed to**
allowed to, from abroad, take advantage of the infrastructure (social, physical, etc.) that millions have worked for generations to build up in this country. If you don't need any of that, what is stopping you? And if you do need that, then is "exit" just a fig leaf for ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451675272634269696)
2021-10-22T22:22:10Z	**One thing I just don't get about about the "exit" crowd is**
One thing I just don't get about about the "exit" crowd is, what exactly is stopping you? There are plenty of other places to go and the only constraint on going there is that there are some limits on how much capital you can take/steal along with you and how "freely" you are ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451675271426285576)
2021-10-23T12:15:47Z	**Unless we ask the right questions**
Unless we ask the right questions. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451885057812041736)
2021-10-23T12:15:46Z	**As often**
As often, Norbert Wiener put it better than I could have: Whether we entrust our decisions to machines of metal, or to those machines of flesh and blood which are bureaus and vast laboratories and armies and corporations, we shall never receive the right answers to our questions ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1451885056775974916)
2021-10-27T09:59:39Z	**Hats off to @ewarren**
Hats off to [@ewarren](https://twitter.com/ewarren). Even if it takes a last minute scramble, it looks like her important ideas for tax reform are finally going to be tried. It will be a wild ride seeing where they go! ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1453300349670940680)
2021-10-27T23:50:11Z	**A thoughtful reflection on potential approach to financial regulation of Web 3**
A thoughtful reflection on potential approach to financial regulation of Web 3 ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1453509362270433286)
2021-11-01T17:37:29Z	**Fronts**
Fronts. It is economically disastrous legalized piracy. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455227506395467776)
2021-11-01T17:37:28Z	**Despite crypto framing**
Despite crypto framing, this is one of the better things I’ve ever seen written on capitalism etc. particularly welcome is the calling out of “the left” and [@ntnsndr](https://twitter.com/ntnsndr) in particular for conceding too much. “Neoliberalism” is not economically efficient but problematic on other ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455227505112088576)
2021-11-02T03:46:38Z	**Those concerned with existential risks from exponential technology need look no further than here for your bete noir**
Those concerned with existential risks from exponential technology need look no further than here for your bete noir. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455380804939354114)
2021-11-03T16:35:12Z	**that the contents of this first essay in no way**
that the contents of this first essay in no way, shape or form reflect my values. A world where the billionth bot created by [@balajis](https://twitter.com/balajis) and alt-right trolls must be treated with equal dignity to a unique human being is not a world I ever want to live in. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455936609493282817)
2021-11-03T16:35:12Z	**I recently recommended an essay by @keikreutler on DAOs**
I recently recommended an essay by [@keikreutler](https://twitter.com/keikreutler) on DAOs, which was quite good. However, I did not at the time realize it was a follow-up to this piece: [https://t.co/srkVzr15hl](https://blog.gnosis.pm/inventories-not-identities-7da9a4ec5a3e). While I don't retract my praise for the second essay in the series, I want to be super clear ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455936608176250888)
2021-11-03T17:01:02Z	**that they can is not what @keikreutler intended**
that they can is not what [@keikreutler](https://twitter.com/keikreutler) intended. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455943110324674567)
2021-11-03T17:01:01Z	**To be clear**
To be clear, [@keikreutler](https://twitter.com/keikreutler) is a very interesting and often brilliant thinker and multisig wallets are an interesting tool in a broader toolkit. They are just far from a single hammer to which something as rich as identity can be reduced. I hope the implication in this piece ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1455943107975868416)
2021-11-03T21:17:41Z	**Just signed this**
Just signed this: [https://t.co/VzQIdOExf5](https://www.interdependence.online/declaration/e-bw-AGkYsZFYqmAe2771A6hi9ZMIkWrkBNtHIF1hF4). It is very good. Should be harder on bad stuff in crypto, but still very good. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1456007700966297603)
2021-11-03T21:16:52Z	**I am verifying for @verses_xyz**
I am verifying for [@verses\_xyz](https://twitter.com/verses_xyz): sig:0x5a7d85de133916b9d306f7de27bf6812960ca53ef294f65df1cf29d39d7987c73bae3abfc4f3242d47874bd3f7fc8877c8418f8ce5817b9e17f3349c382663c01c ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1456007494786895873)
2021-11-08T16:13:11Z	**I'm honored that @chengela and @WIRED agreed to publish this piece with @DrDaronAcemoglu and Michael I**
I'm honored that [@chengela](https://twitter.com/chengela) and [@WIRED](https://twitter.com/WIRED) agreed to publish this piece with [@DrDaronAcemoglu](https://twitter.com/DrDaronAcemoglu) and Michael I. Jordan: [https://t.co/WOwouNBYJ1](https://www.wired.com/story/artificial-intelligence-turing-test-economics-business/), ahead of the release of our broader, many authored report from [@HarvardEthics](https:// ... ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1457743008393154564)
2021-11-09T00:55:26Z	**A great initiative that I signed**
A great initiative that I signed. Excesses in the decentralization space are pretty bad too as I think many signers would agree, but an important shot-across-the-bow. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1457874436552491011)
2021-11-10T17:49:20Z	**Had been more on Bentham**
Had been more on Bentham, Simmel, Douglass and George), but it offers a very fresh look at the topic that will confound the narratives of liberalisms champions and critics across the political spectrum. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1458491981286371330)
2021-11-10T17:49:20Z	**Anyone interested in what “liberalism” “really means” historically should read @HelenaRosenblat’s excellent “The Lost History of Liberalism”**
Anyone interested in what “liberalism” “really means” historically should read [@HelenaRosenblat](https://twitter.com/HelenaRosenblat)’s excellent “The Lost History of Liberalism”: [https://t.co/3NiCJPoXt2](https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691170701/the-lost-history-of-liberalism). Like any book of this kind, it’s far from exha ... ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1458491979776462849)
2021-11-11T01:17:35Z	**A small and silly dream came true today**
A small and silly dream came true today: [@RadxChange](https://twitter.com/RadxChange) has more followers than I do! Thanks to so many, especially [@jlmorone](https://twitter.com/jlmorone), [@m\_t\_prewitt](https://twitter.com/m_t_prewitt), [@flakoubay](https://twitter.com/flakoubay), [@ckt4000](https://twitter.com/ckt4000), [@VitalikButerin](https://twitter.com/VitalikButerin) and [@audreyt](https://twitter.com/audreyt), for helping me be part of something greater than  ... ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1458604785305673732)
2021-11-12T00:37:47Z	**The blind need not apply to live in the network state**
The blind need not apply to live in the network state. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1458957160881164293)
2021-11-13T19:15:31Z	**What an interesting paper**
What an interesting paper! An attempt to empirically show the [@peterthiel-](https://twitter.com/peterthiel-) associated “AI is communist/totalitarian” thesis. Hats off to the authors. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1459600834648416256)
2021-11-15T21:20:42Z	**@balajis I’d really enjoy your putting some of your predictions about various institutions collapsing into the form of objectively verifiable quantitative predictions that resolve in the next 3-5 years**
. [@balajis](https://twitter.com/balajis) I’d really enjoy your putting some of your predictions about various institutions collapsing into the form of objectively verifiable quantitative predictions that resolve in the next 3-5 years. I am very likely happy to be the other side of the bet. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1460357114228994053)
2021-11-15T21:31:30Z	**I’d also recommend to “Einstein with internet access” using that access to read some of Einstein’s writings like**
I’d also recommend to “Einstein with internet access” using that access to read some of Einstein’s writings like: [https://t.co/l8KzUFFmOY](https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/1932-disarmament-conference-0/tnamp/) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1460359832192512004)
2021-11-15T21:47:05Z	**Anyone have a line to @anneapplebaum**
Anyone have a line to [@anneapplebaum](https://twitter.com/anneapplebaum)? ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1460363750695849984)
2021-11-15T22:00:50Z	**Or**
Or, for that matter, writings of JCR Licklider, the closest thing the internet had to a founder/inventor, such as “Computers and Government” 1979 ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1460367211571277829)
2021-11-16T11:54:25Z	**Let me extend this to anyone who thinks “The Sovereign Individual” is a prophecy**
Let me extend this to anyone who thinks “The Sovereign Individual” is a prophecy. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1460576991761952781)
2021-11-16T16:46:51Z	**And to anyone who thinks AGI is coming down the road in 3-5 years**
And to anyone who thinks AGI is coming down the road in 3-5 years. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1460650582738288641)
2021-11-17T21:21:47Z	**Very interesting paper on land taxes**
Very interesting paper on land taxes: [https://t.co/aJkwPpmHcQ](https://dors.dk/files/media/publikationer/arbejdspapirer/2017/02_arbejdspapir_land_tax.pdf) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1461082162434740224)
2021-11-19T18:38:44Z	**greater seriousness and less focus on useful but narrow technologies like multisigs**
greater seriousness and less focus on useful but narrow technologies like multisigs. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1461765902907572227)
2021-11-19T18:38:43Z	**Let me also clarify that my overall comments about this piece are not fair to some parts in the middle of it which are quite smart about they ways that pseudonymous histories can be used to build reputations in social contexts**
Let me also clarify that my overall comments about this piece are not fair to some parts in the middle of it which are quite smart about they ways that pseudonymous histories can be used to build reputations in social contexts. I would love to see this be worked out with ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1461765900911071234)
2021-11-21T05:59:17Z	**Her latest “If Then” is one of the best tech histories**
Her latest “If Then” is one of the best tech histories: [https://t.co/2jz9j6ZT2P](https://wwnorton.com/books/9781631496103). Definitely should be near the top of the list of anyone interested in what’s going wrong in tech today. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462299556222144517)
2021-11-21T05:59:16Z	**Having fun on a Jill Lenore spree…definitely one of the greatest historians today**
Having fun on a Jill Lenore spree…definitely one of the greatest historians today. These Truths ( [https://t.co/gi3eUpYf1V](https://www.amazon.com/These-Truths-History-United-States/dp/0393635244)) contained little I didn’t know but still is probably the highest quality political history of the US per page I have read. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462299554779303938)
2021-11-21T19:54:57Z	**Quantify and bet against**
Quantify and bet against? My confidence is 80% on each of these and 50% that they will all be true. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462509862378618882)
2021-11-21T19:54:57Z	**Denominated in fiat**
Denominated in fiat, including CBDC.

Govt spending will not be a devastating drag on growth: there will still in 2025 be a positive correlation btwn GDP per capita and govt share of GDP will not have disappeared. Any other key points of [@balajis](https://twitter.com/balajis) wisdom people want me to ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462509858515603460)
2021-11-21T19:54:56Z	**I don’t think governments are collapsing any time soon**
I don’t think governments are collapsing any time soon: by 2025, govt tax take share of GDP will not have fallen by more than 5pp from current levels in OECD.

I don’t think fiat currencies are collapsing anytime soon: in 2025 >90% of transactions in economy will still be ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462509857517367302)
2021-11-21T19:54:56Z	**If betting is a tax on BS**
If betting is a tax on BS, expert evasion going on here, though you can’t really blame him given that it is his largest and most valuable asset. To do my best to incentive compatibly reveal my low holdings thereof, let me offer some bets I’m happy to take. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462509856120655874)
2021-11-21T19:54:55Z	**Anyone who propagates the #BalajiwasRigbt meme should note that I got crickets in response to this from @balajis**
Anyone who propagates the [#BalajiwasRigbt](https://twitter.com/hashtag/BalajiwasRigbt) meme should note that I got crickets in response to this from [@balajis](https://twitter.com/balajis). I have always thought that the discourse around individual sovereignty was mostly a smokescreen for tax evasion. We seem to have a nice illustration here: ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462509853675442176)
2021-11-22T21:31:16Z	**I love @audreyt's distinction between pro- and anti-social media**
I love [@audreyt's](https://twitter.com/audreyt's) distinction between pro- and anti-social media. The fact that media is social is a neutral fact, but it can either use this sociality to dig us further and further into holes away from one another or bring us together. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462896487214436353)
2021-11-22T22:34:42Z	**Thanks to @RistoUuk and @wef for including me in this excellent report on positive AI futures**
Thanks to [@RistoUuk](https://twitter.com/RistoUuk) and [@wef](https://twitter.com/wef) for including me in this excellent report on positive AI futures: [https://t.co/ui8ZTx0zLO](https://www.weforum.org/reports/positive-ai-economic-futures) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1462912451385516034)
2021-11-23T04:46:30Z	**for the left to show it has a real vision for the future**
for the left to show it has a real vision for the future. My vote would be for him. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1463006015767531520)
2021-11-23T04:46:29Z	**The election underway in Chile is probably the most important in the world this year**
The election underway in Chile is probably the most important in the world this year. With candidates so different than in the past, no one can predict what the choice will mean, but I am hopefully that [@gabrielboric](https://twitter.com/gabrielboric) offers the best chance for since the failure of [@SyrizaI](https://twitter.com/SyrizaI) ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1463006014316240900)
2021-11-30T18:51:33Z	**a broad but thin state that replaces capitalist institutions with new incentive structures (e**
a broad but thin state that replaces capitalist institutions with new incentive structures (e.g. high wealth taxes to support ample quadratic funding matching funds) but has minimal administrative overhead and operates in a rule-based way that empowers decentralization. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465755397747138563)
2021-11-30T18:51:33Z	**A lot of current and former libertarians have recently been advocating for a "strong but narrow state" that is hierarchical**
A lot of current and former libertarians have recently been advocating for a "strong but narrow state" that is hierarchical, disciplined and focused on protecting capitalist institutions (Pinochet era Chile comes to mind). I would argue for almost the precise opposite: ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465755396363091971)
2021-11-30T22:44:49Z	**This is why I consider myself a political economist**
This is why I consider myself a political economist. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465814100047327233)
2021-11-30T22:43:41Z	**That politics and collective choice are as fundamental and pervasive as is bilateral or price mediated exchange**
That politics and collective choice are as fundamental and pervasive as is bilateral or price mediated exchange. Sociology and economics are equally fundamental, neither a mere superstructure of the other. Instead they form an equilibrium like supply and demand. ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465813812456538113)
2021-11-30T22:43:40Z	**As rationality and strategy are to communicating**
As rationality and strategy are to communicating. I no longer believe most goods are private good and thus that something like general equilibrium is a reasonable benchmark to describe resource allocation. I believe that most goods are at least common to some group and thus ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465813811131150341)
2021-11-30T22:43:40Z	**Are just as much derived from group beliefs and preferences as the reverse**
Are just as much derived from group beliefs and preferences as the reverse. I no longer believe in the priority of preference, utility and reason over communication. Communication is, in a world of limited individual rationality, as important to making rationality possible ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465813809868656640)
2021-11-30T22:43:40Z	**These premises but that their negations are as true and fruitful as they are**
These premises but that their negations are as true and fruitful as they are. I no longer believe in methodical individualism; I think social groups are just as much a thing as are individuals and that individuals beliefs and preferences ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465813808773885952)
2021-11-30T22:43:39Z	**I was trained as an economist but no longer identify as one**
I was trained as an economist but no longer identify as one. I’ll write a longer essay on why soon, but briefly: I no longer accept as true the basic premises of the field that differentiate it from other social sciences. Not to say there if nothing to be gained by entertaining ⌘ [Read more](https://twitter.com/glenweyl/status/1465813807368847366)